Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 13.305482 15.048875 17.068930 19.616363 22.793322 26.695953 31.970981
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 11.662236 13.899999 16.723109 20.659073 26.206836 34.107131 46.998686
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 9.968786 12.227699 15.217027 19.639922 26.374317 36.981604 56.948659
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 9.034278 11.347853 14.535224 19.502159 27.617588 41.715766 72.621211
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 8.272695 10.582433 13.865760 19.199550 28.442937 45.952571 90.451188
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 7.725262 10.044108 13.434867 19.159428 29.656376 51.360205 116.394516
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 7.337683 9.688836 13.221571 19.416520 31.449919 58.795132 158.752064
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 6.835237 9.113519 12.596291 18.855413 31.489336 62.160130 193.088117
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 6.504892 8.768998 12.298841 18.825819 32.616357 68.964934 261.642829
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 6.085806 8.255531 11.676526 18.107697 32.069410 70.788285 309.226958
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 5.660116 7.705485 10.951232 17.111388 30.698281 69.541958 333.079472
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 5.315347 7.264086 10.378167 16.350262 29.754549 69.410667 371.659453
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.459711 7.622690 11.217006 18.533261 36.750007 103.863837 1561.603094
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.385034 7.618890 11.423458 19.472860 40.989473 134.847245 13108.595997
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 5.061550 7.180197 10.806414 18.539100 39.518094 134.538128 34070.269267
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.871949 6.955723 10.565359 18.412775 40.505093 150.833553 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.679293 6.714778 10.274704 18.135472 40.949069 164.981944 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.531112 6.541460 10.097711 18.098691 42.202488 188.581339 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.425335 6.434970 10.038984 18.334303 44.517823 229.184307 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 4.243895 6.187297 9.689967 17.819892 43.934234 239.470047 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 4.127199 6.047926 9.543680 17.792742 45.234594 278.496894 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 3.951720 5.797109 9.162794 17.133334 43.852767 277.685625 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 3.758400 5.508393 8.694408 16.216579 41.268936 255.139527 NaN